With 2023 NBA Opening Night scheduled for Oct. 24, Fantasy basketball season is just around the corner and managers everywhere will be spending the next month trying to sort through a busy NBA offseason as they prep for their upcoming drafts. The 2023 NBA Draft class is one of the most top-heavy in recent memory with Victor Wembanyama, Brandon Miller and Scoot Henderson all looking like potential franchise cornerstones after going with the first three picks. However, the learning curve can be steep for Fantasy basketball rookies, so where exactly should you be targeting them this draft season?

Meanwhile, Bradley Beal (Suns), Chris Paul (Warriors) and Kristaps Porzingis (Celtics) are just a few of the NBA superstars who have changed teams this offseason. With a reliable set of 2023 Fantasy basketball rankings, you can figure out how the change of scenery might impact those notables while also identifying potential 2023 Fantasy basketball sleepers, breakouts and busts. Before making any 2023-24 Fantasy basketball picks, be sure to check out the 2023 Fantasy basketball rankings and cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s proven model simulates each season 10,0000 times. This model is powered by the same people who powered projections for all three major Fantasy sites. These cheat sheets and rankings, available for leagues on many major sites, are updated multiple times every day. Any time an injury occurs or there’s a change on a roster, the team at SportsLine updates its cheat sheets.

Last year the model called Russell Westbrook a bust, predicting that he would never live up to his seventh-round ADP. The result: Westbrook wound up being traded away from the Lakers before signing as a free agent to finish the year with the Clippers. He had his least productive season since his rookie year, averaging 15.9 points, 7.5 assists and 5.8 rebounds per game over just 29.7 minutes per contest, and Fantasy basketball managers who avoided the headache were better off for it.

The model also nailed DeMar DeRozan as a sleeper in 2021-22 before he averaged a career-best 27.9 points per game and called Paolo Banchero’s breakout rookie season last year before he went on to win NBA Rookie of the Year honors. Anyone who followed the model’s Fantasy basketball advice on them was well on their way to making a deep postseason run.

Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NBA season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy basketball rankings 2023-24, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see these 2023-24 Fantasy basketball rankings. 

Top 2023 Fantasy basketball sleepers 

One of the top 2023 Fantasy basketball sleepers the model is predicting: Spurs forward Keldon Johnson. San Antonio has had a long and successful history of drafting and developing players throughout the Gregg Popovich era and Johnson is just the latest example of how to bring a player with upside along in the NBA. The No. 29 overall pick in the 2019 NBA Draft spent most of his rookie season in the NBA G-League before earning a spot in the starting lineup his second season primarily for his willingness as a perimeter defender.

Johnson continued to see his minutes increase over the last two seasons and has developed into an extremely capable scorer, averaging 17.0 points per game in 2021-22 and then 22.0 points last season. Now Johnson is on the verge of stardom in San Antonio and he’s got a new superstar to play with in Wembanyama that should allow him to thrive on the wing. That’s a big reason why the model ranks Johnson ahead of forwards like Gordon Hayward and Miles Bridges who are being drafted at least 20 picks earlier on average.

Top 2023 Fantasy basketball breakouts 

One of the 2023 Fantasy basketball breakouts the model has identified: Trail Blazers guard Scoot Henderson. It was a bit of a shock when the G-League Ignite star fell to third overall but Portland didn’t hesitate to scoop up the talented combo guard despite having Damian Lillard, Anfernee Simons and Shaedon Sharpe on the roster. That’s because Henderson is a high-level prospect who might have gone No. 1 overall in any of the last three NBA draft classes. 

He averaged 16.5 points per game in the G-League as an 18-year-old last season and his athleticism and explosiveness around the rim have drawn comparisons to Derrick Rose and Russell Westbrook. His 6-foot-9 wingspan also gives him defensive upside and he should be incredibly mature for his age with a year of professional basketball under his belt. Those are all big reasons why the model ranks him as its top rookie guard, ahead of players like Paul and Tyler Herro who are being drafted at least three rounds earlier.

Top 2023 Fantasy basketball busts

As for players to avoid, the model lists Heat guard Tyler Herro as one of its top 2023 Fantasy basketball busts. Herro remains a member of the Heat but rumors have swirled all summer about the potential for him to be included in a package to acquire Damian Lillard from the Trail Blazers, and that uncertainty creates some clear issues from a Fantasy basketball perspective. However, even if we’re assuming that Herro remains in Miami, there are some issues justifying his current sixth-round ADP.

After primarily playing off the bench his first three seasons, Herro started all 67 games that he played in 2022-23 and averaged a career-high 34.7 minutes per game. Yet his scoring was actually down for the year and his rebound and assists numbers were relatively flat. A move to Portland could improve his value to an extent because he might be the primary scorer but that’s not a sure thing with Anfernee Simons and Scoot Henderson also on the roster. Currently, the model ranks him behind Henderson and Tyrese Maxey, who are both going at least two rounds later in early drafts.

How to find proven 2023-24 Fantasy basketball rankings

SportsLine is also has a shocking prediction for one of the league’s biggest names and advises avoiding him in 2023 Fantasy basketball drafts at his current ADP. This bust fails to live up to his second-round ADP, ranking behind players available in the fourth round or later like Brandon Ingram and Darius Garland. You can only see who it is, and the 2023 Fantasy basketball rankings for every player, at SportsLine.

So which 2023-24 Fantasy basketball sleepers, breakouts and busts should you target and fade, and which huge name should you avoid? Visit SportsLine now to get 2023 Fantasy basketball cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that’s nailed its Fantasy basketball picks, and find out.