The latest 2023 Fantasy basketball ADP shows Nikola Jokic, Giannis Antetokounmpo and Luka Doncic going off the board in the first three picks of most 2023 Fantasy basketball drafts. Adding players like those early is a no-brainer, but there are tough calls to be made later in the first round. That’s where you get into comparisons between players like Tyrese Haliburton, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Kevin Durant and the newly-acquired Milwaukee Buck, Damian Lillard.

With the season opening on Oct. 24, Fantasy basketball drafts are going on the clock daily right now. Who are the 2023 Fantasy basketball sleepers, breakouts and busts you should be targeting? Before making any 2023-24 Fantasy basketball picks, be sure to check out the 2023 Fantasy basketball rankings and cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s proven model simulates each season 10,0000 times. This model is powered by the same people who powered projections for all three major Fantasy sites. These cheat sheets and rankings, available for leagues on many major sites, are updated multiple times every day. Any time an injury occurs or there’s a change on a roster, the team at SportsLine updates its cheat sheets.

Last year the model called Russell Westbrook a bust, predicting that he would never live up to his seventh-round ADP. The result: Westbrook wound up being traded away from the Lakers before signing as a free agent to finish the year with the Clippers. He had his least productive season since his rookie year, averaging 15.9 points, 7.5 assists and 5.8 rebounds per game over just 29.7 minutes per contest, and Fantasy basketball managers who avoided the headache were better off for it.

The model also nailed DeMar DeRozan as a sleeper in 2021-22 before he averaged a career-best 27.9 points per game and called Paolo Banchero’s breakout rookie season last year before he went on to win NBA Rookie of the Year honors. Anyone who followed the model’s Fantasy basketball advice on them was well on their way to making a deep postseason run.

Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NBA season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy basketball rankings 2023-24, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see these 2023-24 Fantasy basketball rankings. 

Top 2023 Fantasy basketball sleepers 

One of the top 2023 Fantasy basketball sleepers the model is predicting: Raptors forward Scottie Barnes. The No. 4 overall pick in the 2021 NBA Draft averaged 15.3 points, 6.6 rebounds and 4.8 assists over 34.8 minutes per game last season. Barnes has the ability to contribute in every facet of the box score, boosting his Fantasy basketball value with that versatility. In 12 games Barnes played at least 40 minutes last season, he averaged 20.3 points per game. He most often found himself playing between 30-39 minutes a game and averaged 15.8 points but more rebounds (7.4) and assists (5.3) than he did in games playing 40 or more minutes.

The Raptors will be without Fred VanVleet, who signed a three-year contract with the Rockets this offseason. Barnes is expected to be one of the biggest benefactors of the increased offensive opportunities without VanVleet, who averaged 19.3 points on 16.1 shots per game last season. The 22-year-old will have the ball in his hand more in his third NBA season and the model projects him to take a substantial leap with his increased opportunity.

Top 2023 Fantasy basketball breakouts 

One of the top 2023 Fantasy basketball breakouts the model is predicting: Jazz center Walker Kessler. The second-year pro out of Auburn came on strong late in his rookie season as he slid into the starting lineup. He finished the season averaging 9.2 points, 8.4 rebounds and an impressive 2.3 block per game.

A full season in the starting lineup could put him among the league leaders in both blocks and rebounds, yet he’s a center that you can get relatively late in Fantasy drafts since his current ADP is around pick No. 60 overall. The model projects that he’ll outperform centers such Rudy Gobert and Myles Turner, players who are often going off the board before him. 

Top 2023 Fantasy basketball busts

As for players to avoid, the model lists Grizzlies big man Jaren Jackson Jr. as one of its top 2023 Fantasy basketball busts. Jackson has become one of the best shot blockers in the NBA over the last several years, leading the league in blocks per game the last two seasons. He’s also developed into a capable scorer, averaging a career-best 18.6 points per game last season.

However, Jackson’s rebounding leaves anybody who has him in their Fantasy basketball lineups at a significant disadvantage, as he only averages 5.5 rebounds per game for his career. He’s also been somewhat capped in terms of playing time throughout his career, averaging 27.4 minutes per game overall and never playing more than 28.5 minutes per game in a single season. Those are big reasons why the model ranks Jackson behind forwards like DeRozan and Pascal Siakam.

How to find proven 2023-24 Fantasy basketball rankings

SportsLine is also has a shocking prediction for one of the league’s biggest names and advises avoiding him in 2023 Fantasy basketball drafts at his current ADP. This bust fails to live up to his second-round ADP, ranking behind players available in the fourth round or later like Brandon Ingram and Darius Garland. You can only see who it is, and the 2023 Fantasy basketball rankings for every player, at SportsLine.

So which 2023-24 Fantasy basketball sleepers, breakouts and busts should you target and fade, and which huge name should you avoid? Visit SportsLine now to get 2023 Fantasy basketball cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that’s nailed its Fantasy basketball picks, and find out.